BY Kayla Dunlap
On Friday, Marist College released their latest poll that showed Democrats with a hearty 9 point advantage over Republicans on the generic ballot for Congress. Now, while Democrats historically do better on the generic ballot, a 9 point lead is something worth paying attention to – that is if the data underneath is sound.
What’s not highlighted is the fact that this Marist survey is only 64% white. To put this in perspective, exit polls from the 2016 presidential election had white voters at 71%. In 2014, exits pegged white voters at 75%. Even in the 2006 midterm elections which was a historically bad year for the GOP, whites were at 79%. In fact, the average of the last 6 elections over the past decade shows white voters comprising an averaged 75% of the electorate. You get my point.
Bottom line, while Republicans have certainly had a rocky start to the new cycle and may have shed a few points on the generic ballot, surveys like this that suggest the sky is falling should be properly vetted. For many, there’s a real chance they’re crying wolf.